Wednesday, September 23, 2015
A surprising social dividend?
According
to a recent press release, a new study “has found that the relationship between
the economy and crime rates [in the UK] has varied over time. ... The association between unemployment and property crime –
which was strong in the 1970s and 1980s – weakened after 1995 and became
non-existent by 2005. These findings help to shed light on why the recorded
crime rate did not rise following the 2007-2008 financial crisis.” Why has this
link melted into air? The researchers have no clue: “We cannot be sure why
fluctuations in economic conditions no longer predict the sorts of changes in
recorded crime rates they used to. It may be due to differences between the
sorts of economic shocks experienced by the UK in the 1970s and 1980s compared
to today. It could be because of changes in the labour market dampening the
effects of recent economic downturns -- or it could also be due to trends in
crime prevention measures, such as growth in use of burglar alarms, CCTV and
car immobilisers.” But what, exactly, is
special about 1995 and 2005? Many things, but perhaps 1995 was the year when internet use became more widespread, and
2005 – when internet access reached a point of saturation? So, instead of
savoring the thrill of petty crime, some potential young delinquents could get
the dopamine flowing through “massively multiplayer online games” and other
web-mediated excitement? So perhaps the internet doesn't make "us" less social in the non-virtual world, after all...