In his latest NYRB article, Simic
describes grimly the kind of hell “that can fit
comfortably inside your head, despite the vast crowds of the damned and all
that fire and smoke, is what you end up with after reading the world news these
days.” Yes, the news these
days can be a bit hard to digest, or even follow faithfully with so many
depressing “stories” unfolding simultaneously around the globe. But there is an
easy solution to this. All Simic needs to do is spend more time reading the
“Fixes” blog on the NYT web site, and follow people like Bill Gates, Jeffrey
Sachs, and Steven Pinker on Twitter, etc. – as opposed to watching obsessively
all the endless images of dead children and grandparents he mentions.
Wednesday, August 20, 2014
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
For Big-Data Scientists, ‘Janitor Work’ Is Key Hurdle to Insights
This is the title of a new NYT article
reflecting the view from then data trenches. It says “data scientists, according to interviews and
expert estimates, spend from 50 percent to 80 percent of their time mired in
this more mundane labor of collecting and preparing unruly digital data, before
it can be explored for useful nuggets.” One data executive, “whose sensor-filled wristband and software track activity,
sleep and food consumption, and suggest dietary and health tips based on the
numbers,” complains how little
this aspect of data analysis is appreciated by “data civilians.” The solution?
But, of course – (almost) full automation of data collection, an effort
spearheaded by a few promising startups. And how about all the research suggesting
that insight is linked to intuition, and excessive analysis and overthinking – and particularly formal modeling – tend
to suppress these “softer” aptitudes? I suspect most “data scientists” will
hardly worry about this.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
Tyranny of the #algorithm?
A NYT article carries the following
ominous title: “As Work Shifts Vary, Family’s Only Constant Is Chaos.” And this
is the teaser which appears online under it: “Increasing
numbers of low-income mothers and fathers are at the center of a new collision
that pits workplace scheduling technology against the routines of parenting.” No prizes for guessing the
ultimate winner…
Wednesday, August 13, 2014
Comedic genius and mental illness
The Scientific
American web site carries an article/blog post under the following title: “Robin Williams’s Comedic Genius
Was Not a Result of Mental Illness, but His Suicide Was.” The
author, Scott Barry Kaufman, is a recognized authority on creativity. I am
wondering why he didn’t think/write of Shelley Carson’s “shared vulnerability”
theory to which he has referred in the past. In a nutshell, Carson’s theory (which she
recently outlined for the lay public in Scientific
American) states that extremely creative individuals and those suffering
from schizophrenia and a few other mental maladies have similar neurosomatic
predispositions. I guess after each suicide or semi-suicide by a particularly
gifted celebrity Shelley is tempted to sigh: “I told you so!”
Tuesday, July 29, 2014
#Adolescence 2.0?
A few months ago, Slate published a review demolishing Stephanie Brown’s book, Speed: Facing Our Addiction to Fast and Faster—and Overcoming Our Fear of
Slowing Down. Here
is a typical put-down: Brown “offers a portrait of a
generation of teenagers 'holed up in dark, locked bedrooms, hooked to the
computer, smoking dope and taking uppers and downers to regulate their
attention and mood, when actual trends in teenage behavior are
overwhelmingly positive. Today’s teenagers are less likely to smoke cigarettes, less likely to drink to excess, less likely to use cocaine, and less likely to get pregnant than previous cohorts.” It may be me, but I
somehow fail to see the contradiction here. By the way, the cover of David
Siegel’s latest book, Mindsight, suggests
that “adolescence” now lasts until age 24.
Monday, July 28, 2014
The virtuous circle of #Narcissism
“Narcissism” has acquired a bad rap as a psychiatric
term somehow capturing the #Zetgeist – a rhetorical trend which may not be
entirely justified. A few weeks ago Anne Manne reviewed in #TheGuardian psychological research indicating “how wealth breeds
narcissism” – generally speaking, the wealthier you become, the more likely you
are to be a narcissistic prick. A recent study, on the other hand, has found
that “companies led by narcissistic CEOs
outperforming those helmed by non-narcissistic executives” (at least in the
short run). Which means that giving top executives astronomical “compensation”
packages should set off a virtuous psychofinancial circle: the more money CEOs
get, the more narcissistic they become, the higher share price their company
commands, the easier it becomes to justify even higher pay for the chief, the
more narcissistic he become, and on, and on. Of course, the shoes of CEOs will
need to be filled by ever more extreme narcissists as the overall personality
syndrome becomes more widespread and accepted as “normal” in the age of the “selfie.”
Friday, July 25, 2014
The rescue of the drowning…
A recent epidemiological study has found “job loss linked with higher incidence of depression in Americans compared with Europeans.” The authors attribute this difference in mental health outcomes to the more generous benefits extended to the unemployed in West European countries. Part of the explanation, though, could lie in the stronger emotional and economic support the unemployed tend to receive from friends and family this side of the channel. The press release does not say if the authors think they have a solution – or “intervention” – up their sleeve to could help alleviate the plight of the laid-off. One colleague who commented on the study did venture a remedy, though.
Monday, July 21, 2014
The #singularity is near!
Last month, a computer program apparently passed the
famous #TuringTest, convincingly presenting itself as a 13-year-old before a
panel of judges – at least for a third of them. There has been much hoopla
around this result – which should have been totally predictable. A few years
ago #NicholasCarr sounded the alarm (based on his disturbing self-observations
and some relevant research) that exposure to the incessant stream of
cacophonous information related through the internet was inducing in users a
kind of “artificial intelligence” – a mode of thinking marked by dampened
emotional responsiveness and mechanical analysis. If this, indeed, is the case,
then the thinking gap between human and machine is obviously shrunk, making it
so much easier for a mega-app to reach over even without credibly mimicking a
real human – and without Scarlett Johanson’s unmechanical, sexy voice.
Sunday, July 20, 2014
Pathological #optimism?
A recent pop-science article in the NYT says “debate
continues on hazards of electromagnetic waves.” It points out that the first
disturbing findings date back half a century, and it has been more recently
established that kids living near high-voltage power lines have measurably
higher rates of leukemia. There have also been some sporadic, potentially
disturbing finding regarding cell phones and other equipment. So why hasn’t
this become a burning public health concern? I would guess it’s the same reason
which recently led a top military commander to testify to a US senate committee
that things in Afghanistan were really, truly looking up, despite some apparent
evidence to the contrary – chronic optimism, or what some psychologists call “positivity
bias.” This is the mindset which can lead you to conquer the Aztec empire with a
company of desperados, land a few men on the moon, and win some hot and a cold
war. I would guess it can also lead you into Vietnam, Afghanistan and Iraq, and
let you maintain confidence in a virtualized financial matrix (or, dare I say, fly a passenger airliner over a war zone).
Thursday, July 17, 2014
You’ve got talent!
An article in the NYT revisits
the old nature-vs.-nurture debate (“How Do You Get to Carnegie Hall? Talent”).
It is related to a new meta-study which appears to debunk the 10,000-hours rule
made famous by Michael Gladwell. The piece starts with the following
observation: “The 8-year-old juggling a soccer ball and the
48-year-old jogging by, with Japanese lessons ringing from her earbuds, have
something fundamental in common: At some level, both are wondering whether
their investment of time and effort is worth it.”
Yes, indeed. I have no
doubt in my mind that this is exactly what someone like 8-year-old Diego Armando Maradona would
think, kicking a ball in some South American shanty town – no matter how “weird”
it may sound.
Monday, June 16, 2014
Macht makes right
It’s no fun facing a real existential dilemma. Whom
should I root for – the team which relies on the most pathetic and obnoxious
football/soccer player in living memory; or the team representing (albeit imperfectly)
the nation whose leaders twice sank the “world” in bloody conflict last century
– and which provided thousands of gleeful executioners for the delusional and murderous
Nazi regime? After much soul searching, I opted for the latter. Why? Because
they seemed poised to score a rare victory for “civilization” in the early 21st
century. And because I could not really suppress my dislike of Ronaldo – no matter how politically incorrect it might seem.
Revenge of the extrovert?
With all due respect, this
must be one of the most groundless theories in the social sciences since Keynes
famously mis-predicted the 15-hour work week. It is the “brain child” of Jennifer O. Grimes,
a “Millennial” prospective psychologist bent on finally cracking the “introvert”
walnut. She has developed an “energy theory” according to which introversion
and extraversion can be related to fleeting self-representations (“If you think about planning and really
putting together something in your mind, that could be argued to be
introversion. But unless you act and channel the energy outward, it's not
bringing to extroverted observable fruition the introverted plan.”);
or the personality traits of introverts (if we take these to be a bit less
transient) would place them on (or very close to) the autism spectrum – just dial
these qualities up a bit, and you will get into typical Asperger’s symptoms. This
is, I must say, a very extroverted way of analyzing introversion.
Don’t worry – ever…
On the Edge web site,
Steven Pinker offers a scientific dissection of “writing in the 21st
century.” Toward the end of his analysis, he slips in the following obligatory
warning:
“Another
intellectual error we must be suspicious of is the ever-present tendency to
demonize the younger generation and the direction in which culture and society
are going. In every era there are commentators who say that the kids today are
dumbing down the culture and taking human values with them. Today the
accusations are often directed at anything having to do with the Web and other
electronic technologies—as if the difference between being printed on dead
trees and displayed as pixels on a screen is going to determine the content of
ideas. We're always being told that young people suck: that they are illiterate
and unreflective and un-thoughtful, all of which ignores the fact that every
generation had that said about them by the older generation. Yet somehow
civilization persists.”
As I have noted earlier, someone could have made the
same observation in Rome circa 400 A.D., and smirked at the Cassandra’s who
fail to see the obvious truth. But the paper-vs.-pixels debate is worth
revisiting, too.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Don’t be “good”
Much research in
psychology and neuroscience has found that we have a virtually limitless
ability to rationalize problems away. A case in point is the argument offered by
Aaron Hurst on a few weeks ago (“Being ‘Good’ Isn’t the Only Way to Go”). He
begins by noting that many members of the corporate work force apparently
struggle to find purpose in their work, so they look for meaning elsewhere – often
in volunteering. But they should not really need to do this. In Hurst’s
experience, the “satisfaction” employees “expressed” from non-paid work “came from contributing to something greater than themselves, but was also about the opportunity for self-expression
and personal growth that such work enabled.” The solution? Just give everyone the
impression that they are achieving the latter part of this compound formula for
job satisfaction, and they won’t be distracted by search for meaning elsewhere.
And, by the way, work in the non-profit sector can be unsatisfying in its own
way.
Thursday, May 22, 2014
“Depressed, but Not Ashamed”
This is the title of a
column in the NYT by two high-school students who edit their school’s newspaper.
They argue that depression should be completely destigmatized, so teenagers
could freely discuss it as a serious health issue. Good point – which could be
taken a step further by saying that perhaps it is the cheerfully adjusted to a depressing
educational system (and larger social “matrix”) who should feel some shame. A few psychoanalysts made a similar argument back in the 1960s, but – as we now all know – that was an intellectual and therapeutic dead end.
Tuesday, May 20, 2014
The Donald Rumsfeld of IT?
A few weeks ago, the NYT
carried an article which asked an intriguing question: “If Steve Jobs were alive today, should he be in jail?” It seems the iconic
entrepreneur was involved in some clearly illegal activities: a conspiracy to
stop other companies from poaching Apple employees, a scheme aimed at boosting
the value of his stock options, etc. Why did he do it? Jobs’s biographer, Walter
Isaacson, says he “always believed that the rules that applied to
ordinary people didn’t apply to him. … He believed he could bend
the laws of physics and distort reality. That allowed him to do some amazing
things, but also led him to push the envelope.” And this was his
modus operandi in general: “Over and over, people referred to his reality distortion
field. The rules just didn’t apply to him, whether he was getting a
license plate that let him use handicapped parking or building products that
people said weren’t possible. Most of the time he was right, and he got away
with it.”
Am I the only one who sees an odd parallel here? Except that Rumsfeld wasn’t
right about Iraq, and still got away with it – and remains in denial.
Friday, May 16, 2014
Power to the “pro-social psychopaths”!
Is Recep Tayyip Erdogan a
hard-headed fundamentalist? Sure. But he seems to have a bigger problem which may
eventually sap his power. A few years ago I wrote a paper on perhaps the
central paradox of politics – but also in big business or the military . To
rise to the top, “leaders” need to have very, very thick skin and unflagging
determination; and, since good judgment requires apt affective response, such
callousness often undermines their capacity for effective decision-making in crisis
situations. This is what the Turkish prime minister had to say following the
recent mining disaster: “These
are ordinary things. There is
a thing in literature called ‘work accident' ... It happens in other
workplaces, too. Explosions like this in these
mines happen all the time. It's not like these don't happen elsewhere in the
world.” What kind of person can say this,
really?
Monday, May 12, 2014
The wisdom of spiders
The NYT covers a new
study of a rare spider species, one of the very few living in colonies (“Spiders
That Thrive in a Social Web”). The scientists who did the study kept some young
spiders in the same group of older spiders, and moved others repeatedly from
one group to another. According to the NYT article, “the researchers showed that spiders exposed to the same group
day after day developed stronger and more distinctive personalities than those
that were shifted from one set of spiders to the next. Moreover, the spiders in
a stable social setting grew ever less like one another over time.” It should be hardly
surprising that the socially mobile spiders were more alike, with less
pronounced personal quirks. After all, the break-up of stable, small-scale human
communities and social mobility have long been associated with the emergence of
a “protean” self – superficial, malleable, and supremely adaptable. But the spider study also contains another
lesson which I hope some of my students can take to heart.
Monday, May 5, 2014
The added value of pleasant vices
Almost a decade ago,
economist Steven Levitt pronounced he had solved the biggest mystery in
American criminology. Why had levels of violent steadily clime declined since
their peak in the early 1990’s? Because abortion was legalized – so fewer
unwanted babies, who would be more likely to become criminals, were born. It’s
an elegant theory, but there is a slight problem with it. It can’t be proven –
or refuted – through statistical analysis. Abortion is entangled countless
other social “variables,” so its “causal” impact on crime rates can be
established only within a crude abstract model – but this will tell us little
about its significance in the non-abstract world of living, breathing, and
killing or dying human beings. In fact, I am tempted to offer a different
theory which may seem fanciful –and wouldn’t be amenable to empirical
validation, either – but may well be more credible. Though someone with Levitt’s
unrelenting empirico-analytic bent, however, would typically be impervious to
dissuasion or self-doubt.
Sunday, April 20, 2014
On teen escapism - or empowerment
When the Divergent movie adaptation came out a couple of weeks ago, New Statesman put out an article with an appropriately ominous article: “No wonder teens love stories about dystopias – they feel like they’re in one.” So what is the true dystopia teens feel they inhabit? According to Laurie Penny, who wrote the piece, the young are now hemmed in by environmental doom and capitalist précarité – so they seek virtual escape through fantasies of teen empowerment. But why would such existential treats be reduced to some sort of grotesque totalitarianism, which itself is reduced pervasive adult sadism? It does not become quite clear, so Penny may have done something we all do – project her own anxieties upon the teen fans she ostensibly writes about.
Saturday, April 19, 2014
The self-delusion gap
Katty Kay and Claire
Shipman, accomplished TV journalists and book authors, have written a lengthy
feature for The Atlantic, “The
Confidence Gap.” In it, they argue that highly competent women do not lean in
because that lack confidence. As they worked on the article, Katty at one point
shared her long-hel suspicion “that her public profile in America was
thanks to her English accent, which surely, she suspected, gave her a few extra
IQ points every time she opened her mouth.” Claire laughed, but it turned out she harbored
excessive modesty, too. And they offer similar examples of other highly
successful women in different areas who suffer from a mild form of impostor
syndrome. No doubt, Kay and Shipman will be criticized for blaming women for
their mostly subordinate position in the corporate world. I see, however, a
bigger problem with their theory – the extent to which they take the
exaggerated, chest-pounding self-assurance and will to power of Alpha, and even
Beta, males as the norm; and think aspiring women should ape them in always
charging upward and taking big risks.
Friday, April 18, 2014
Daddy Cool
The current issue of Scientific American Mind has an article
on the potentially beneficial influence of fathers on their daughters (“Where
is Dad?”). There are always outliers, but much credible research indicates that
the physical or emotional absence of their father can predispose girls to
earlier puberty and risky sexual behavior. So how does this work, exactly? Some
of the psychologists profiled in the article seem to offer some slightly
tortured arguments. Two female evolutionary psychologists claim that seeing
their fathers leave “provides young girls with a cue about what the future
holds in terms of the mating system they are born into.” The abandoned
daughters infer that “men don’t stay for long” – hence “finding a man requires
quick action.” On the basis of this inference, they make a rational, if
subconscious, choice. They opt for an evolutionarily adaptive “reproductive
strategy”– to rev up their own reproductive maturation and seek to get pregnant
as soon as femininely possible.
Tuesday, April 15, 2014
“Raising a Moral Child”
This is currently the
most emailed article on the NYT site. It is written by Adam Grant, a übernerdy
superstar in business psychology about whom I have written earlier. The piece
offers a meticulous review of all the research. So, how do you do it?
Apparently, by the relentless deployment of evidence-based “interventions” –
for example, praise rather than reward (but make sure you praise effort rather
than ability), model generous behavior, etc. As Grant judiciously concludes, “people often believe that character causes action, but when it
comes to producing moral children, we need to remember that action also shapes
character.” How
about theories suggesting that moral development depends crucially on
attachment, or the forging of strong emotional bonds between parents (or “caregivers”)
and children, rather than on shrewd and systemic, quasi-behaviorist manipulation?
Sunday, April 13, 2014
A star – or comet – called Lupita
The NYT carries an incisive analysis
of the campaign to launch Lupita Nyong’o, the 31-year actress who won an Oscar
for her role in “12 Years a Slave,” into much deserved – if slightly delayed –
stardom. The title says it all, and captures the Zeitgeist better than tomes of
“cultural studies” drivel: “Capitalizing on Her Leap to
Stardom: Lupita Nyong’o
Gains the Ultimate Prize with a Beauty Contract for Lancôme.” Still, I wanted to
preserve a few extra memorable lines for posterity – or at least until “the
cloud” is up in the air:
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